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Outlook for West African timber trade weak
10/10/2008 - 09:33
Very difficult trading conditions prevailed in West Africa. Although there has been relative stability in prices, this remains very much a function of low or no trade rather than an indication of normal business conditions. Steady buying for China has been perhaps the major stabilizing factor, although prices have been held at the current lower levels and are unlikely to improve in the short-to-medium term. Okan has been in better demand and prices have been higher by around EUR10-15m³. Other than this, there have been no price changes reported. Okoume has been selling, but volumes are well below what would have been considered normal in the early part of the year. Mill closures and reductions in staff are still being made. One large group in West Africa has closed a veneer mill because of low demand and build up of unsold stock, due in part to reduced furniture manufacturing activity and exports of veneer in Italy.

Other mills remain closed and companies are uncertain and nervous about trade prospects for the remainder of the year. Sawn lumber prices have appeared to be holding steady because of low trading volumes, rather than any real firmness in the market. Buying has been very slow and selective. Sapele has not made any recovery from its decline in demand and price. Reports indicate that sellers are taking very low offers to move stock and buyers are still reluctant to give shipping instructions for their overlying, previous contracts.

It is certain that the full effects of the financial crises in the US and UK are still to be felt in building construction and housing, and in furniture manufacturing and sales. The timber supplying sector is likely to be more seriously impacted as it seems inevitable that the house building slump will worsen and furniture sales will decline over the final quarter of the year and well into first quarter of 2009.


West Africa logs, FOB € per m³
Asian market
LM
B
BC/C
Acajou/ Khaya/N'Gollon
221 
191 
137
Ayous/Obéché/Wawa
206 
206 
168 
Azobe & Ekki
168
168
122
Belli
168
168 
-
Bibolo/Dibétou
168 
168 
114
Bubinga
533
457
381
Iroko
289 
274 
259
Okoume (60% CI, 40% CE, 20% CS)
132
-
-
Moabi
259
259
206
Movingui
191
191
137
Niove
129
129
-
Okan
162
162
135
Padouk
259 
259 
229 
Sapele
251
251
191
Sipo/Utile
305
305
228
Tali
152
152
114 


West Africa sawnwood, FOB
€ per m³
Ayous FAS GMS
335 
Fixed sizes 396
Okoumé FAS GMS
300
Sel. & Bet. GMS Italy
250
Sel. & Bet. fixed sizes
-
Sipo FAS GMS
585
FAS fixed sizes
-
FAS scantlings
585
Padouk FAS GMS
585 
FAS scantlings
585
Strips
425
Sapele FAS Spanish sizes
520
FAS scantlings
520
Iroko FAS GMS
458
Scantlings
519
Strips
304
Khaya FAS GMS
396
FAS fixed
427
Maobi FAS GMS
580
Scantlings
580
Movingui FAS GMS
420
(ITTO's Tropical Timber Market Report)
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