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    First quarter results show log and lumber imports declining in Japan

 

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First quarter results show log and lumber imports declining in Japan
09/07/2008 - 09:03

The Japan Lumber Reports (JLR) reported on log and lumber imports for the first quarter of 2008, noting that log import volumes from Russia, North America and South Asian countries all declined. Russia had the most notable drop of 66% from the same period in 2007, which resulted from the spike in log export tariffs imposed by the Russian government. Chinese products were also struggling due to the strong appreciation of the yuan. The chart below shows the main items and sources of logs, lumber and plywood and their respective changes from the 2007-2008 period.

Demand for South Sea logs still weak in Japan
Log production in the South Sea region has recovered, said JLR. Nevertheless, it was noted that priority for log sales would be given to domestic suppliers in South Sea producer countries before filling contracts for export. Demand for plywood continues to be weak in Japan although prices are generally firm. Despite the boost in supply, the Japan Lumber Journal reported that there was still a ‘weakness in demand from end-users’ in Japan for South Sea logs. Prices for Sarawak logs, PNG and Solomon logs remained unchanged for the third consecutive month. Lumber manufacturers also saw a decline in South Sea log quality, due to the growing production of small diameter logs that result in difficulties for product sizing. Transport of logs via sea freight is still a problem, as only three to four ships are operating from Sabah.

Plywood imports and housing starts rise in April 2008
Japan Lumber Reports provided data that showed rises in both plywood imports and housing starts in April 2008. The volume of plywood imports in April 2008 (Figure 1) rose 14.8% since March 2008, although it showed a yearon-year decrease of 16%. For housing starts (Figure 2), figures for April 2008 showed a 16.6% rise from March 2008 levels, but an 8.7% drop from April 2007 levels. The Japan Lumber Journal also noted that housing starts for June are expected to be ‘relatively low’ since it is the rainy season in Japan. Domestic plywood manufacturers continue long-term production curtailment and the total plywood import supply from the January to April 2008 period was about 26% lower than during the same period in 2007. In early June, manufacturers were increasingly using materials manufactured from domestic logs and searching for possible substitutes for South Sea logs such as Douglas fir and radiata pine logs.
Japan
Log and Sawnwood Prices in Japan
Logs for Ply Manufacture, CIF
Meranti (Hill, Sarawak)
Yen per Koku
(koku=0.278 m3)
Medium Mixed
8,000
Standard Mixed
8,100
Small Log (SM60%, SSM40%)
7,000
Taun, Calophyllum, others (PNG)
7,200
Mixed light hardwood, G3/4 grade (PNG)
-
Keruing MQ & up (Sarawak)
10,200
Kapur MQ & up (Sarawak)
9,800
Logs for Sawmilling, CIF
Yen per Koku
Melapi (Sarawak) High Select
11,000
Agathis (Sarawak) High Select
-
Lumber, FOB
Yen per m3
White Seraya (Sabah) 24x150mm, 4m, Grade 1
145,000
Mixed Seraya, Sangi 24x48mm, 1.8-4m, S2S
53,000

Wholesale Prices (Tokyo)
Indonesian & Malaysian Plywood Size (mm)
May
June
(¥ per sheet)
2.4mm (thin plywood, F 4star, type 2 ) 920 X 1830
370
370
3.7mm (med. Thickness, F 4star, type1) 910 X 1820
560
560
5.2mm (med. Thickness, F 4star, type 1) 910 X 1820
670
670
11.5mm for sheathing (F 4star, type 2) 910 X 1820
943
943
12mm for foundation (F 4star, special) 910 X 1820
1010
1010
12mm concrete-form ply (JAS) 900 X 1800
930
930
12m coated concrete-form ply (JAS) 900 X 1800
1090
1090
11.5mm flooring board 945 X 1840
1270
1270
3.6mm baseboard for overlays (OVL) 1230 X 2440
850
850
OSB (North American)
12mm foundation of roof (JAS) 910 X 1820
1000
1000
9mm foundation for 2 by 4 (JAS) 910 X 2440
1050
1050
9mm conventional foundation (JAS) 910 X 2730
1250
1250
9mm conventional foundation (JAS) 910 X 3030
1350
1350
(ITTO's Tropical Timber Market Report)
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